The above methods of correlating the Shemitah years or their wake to an observed drop in an economic indicator do not represent the optimal way of showing that a Shemitah Effect is really occurring. The impact of the There is basically no systematic effect. Keep up the good work! Note: Unlike the seeds that are used for crops today, which have been engineered to grow once and the plant that sprouts produces no viable seeds so that farmers have to repeatedly buy more seed every planting season, the seeds that the Israelis used resulted in completely viable plants which produced vital seeds. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. On 29th Ellul, 5768, 29th September 2008, the Dow Jones Index fell 777.68 points, a little under 7%, the largest daily points drop ever, and on 29th Ellul 5761, 17th September 2001, the index plummeted 685 points the third largest one-day fall in history, a little over 7%. He said that once every seven years any Hebrews used as slaves among the people would have to be freed (Jeremiah 34:13-14). BGC Partners, Inc. (Nasdaq: BGCP) ("BGC"), a leading global brokerage and financial technology company, today reported its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2022. On August 29, 1966, the S&P 500 dropped to 74.53, down -20.76% from its prior high 6 months previously on February 9, 1966. It turns out that its lacking entire categories pertinent to stock market action: Weve reminded dejected readers throughout 2022 that this year was statistically cursed from the onset. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. The aftereffects of a Shemitah year should continue to be felt during the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, because the debt release occurs on the last day of the year. This law ensured that Hebrew slaves would not be held as slaves forever, regardless of the debt they owed or the situation they found themselves in. Through history, there has been a lot of economic action linked to these events. towers fell. During Shmita years, the market has seen a decline 46% of the time. Six years you shall sow your field, and six years you shall prune your vineyard and gather in its crop. All during this one Shmita year. All or some of these data points would be expected to correlate to the Shemitah years and show up as downturns, if there is really an effect that God designed into the economic systems of the world. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. Not knowing what it was, I asked her. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! 150 South Fifth Street, Suite 1700Minneapolis, MN 55402, 2023 Time Cycles: Two Outta Three Aint Bad. In case of abuse, In this Sunday, Oct. 19, 2014 photo, Gilad Fine, a religious Jewish farmer from Bnei Netzarim, stands inside his greenhouse, between the southern tip of the Gaza Strip and the Egyptian border. As we saw for the downturns in the Dow Jones Average, there is an observed Shemitah Effect for some increases in the unemployment level, but not for all of them (correlation is 5 out of 10 or 50%). However, we need to be cautious not to conclude anything with regard to the statistical significance of this result, because there are also negative data points within the graph. This type of downward pressure on the global financial system may also cause the rise and fall of empires and countries, as economic upheavals often cause major political power shifts. In the year 2014-2015 the stock market is moving sideways and slows down within the established uptrend. Mike Maloney is a smart guy, but hes just a man with a view just take a look on his favourite crypto, Hedera Hashgraph (episode 8). Your email address will not be published. Maybe nothing goes down on that day. Two-thousand years later, the idea that people need a weekly rhythm of work and rest, has been embraced by most people on the planet. Why stocks. We arent suggesting one pile into them with yields near 4% and inflation around 8%, but we think they have suffered a much more substantial de-rating than large-cap stocks. This is the manner of remission: every creditor shall release what he has loaned to his neighbor; he shall not exact it of his neighbor and his brother, because the Lords remission has been proclaimed.. German, Austro-Hungarian, The lack of an absolute correlation to stock market crashes shouldnt come as a surprise, however. Year of the Shmita September 24th 2022! Stocks crash, the financial system collapses, and unemployment rises rapidly, oftentimes taking years to recover. Some market operators who spoke to Nairametrics said the equities market defied election jittery thanks to the anticipated 2022 full . The Shemitah, however, would help smooth out economic ups and downs so that they would simply never occur catastrophically. land and that which was built up was wiped away. God commands rest for both the farmer and the land"But the seventh year thou shall let it rest Our Major Trend Index has four factor categories, and three of them (Valuation, Cyclical, Technical) remain negative. The beginning of American to rise to world power. This served to reinforce their reliance on God and decrease their reliance on their own initiative, which is exactly what the Lord wanted to happen. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. and lie still. Here is a chart comparing all of the years: It is hard to understand what to do with this data. A more in depth analysis would conclude that breathing has nothing to do with eventual death, even if everyone who breaths does eventually die. These times makes it possible to accumulate wealth, improve your situation. Shmita (Elul 29) started on September 14, 1966, and the market reached its low on October 7, 1966. As can be seen, there are some Shemitah years that actually do correlate well to downturns in the stock market; particularly, these are represented by the years 1902-1903, 1909-1910, 1916-1917, 1930-1931, 1937-1938 (at its start), 1965-1966, 1972-1973, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, 2007-2008, and 2014-2015. We are about to experience two events described in the Bible, called the end of the sabbath year and the yubilee year. Is there an unseen force or a law of nature that God has designed into the world, which silently governs the rise and fall of economies and nations? I think it's just a normal cycle. They have not been independently audited or verified.Investments in securities involve risk and the loss of investment principal is possible. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. Cahn subsequently went on to publish a second book in 2014 that was exclusively related to the Shemitah Effect, entitled The Mystery of the Shemitah. Incorrect password. Fruit that grew on trees could be picked by anyone and eaten. But it never does. This means, unfortunately that slumps and depressions are exaggerated in degree. In the same chapter of Leviticus where the Shemitah laws were revealed, Moses went on to describe the laws related to the year of Jubilee: You are also to count off seven sabbaths of years for yourself, seven times seven years, so that you have the time of the seven sabbaths of years, namely, forty-nine years. On January 6th, I published my Predictions for 2022, where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. We are asking for your ideas too. A Shmita reminds a nation that it's Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: Hvorfor de rike blir rikere og forbrukeren klr seg i hodet, September 26th 2022 and the end of shemita (the sabbath year), The Timeline Shows The Death of The US Dollar As World Reserve, The Biggest Scam In The History Of Mankind, The Rollercoaster Crash Deflation FIRST, Restored Republic via a GCR: Update as of September 23, 2022 | Dinar Chronicles. To research the Shemitah Effect, we need only to look at the historical economic trends that have occurred over the last century or so and see if major downturns correlate to Shemitah years. From Shuls to JCCs, Federations to urban farms, I met a wide range of knowledge levels and often had to begin by explaining the abc of shmita, the biblical seven-year agriculture cycle. All during this one Shmita year. Also, on the seventh year, all debts were to be forgiven (Deuteronomy 15:1-11). Many economists and others who study the global financial systems have wondered why major downturns in the economy seem to happen in early fall, especially in the months of September and October. Im not the first analyst using time cycles to predict movements in the financial markets. Since he used every major upturn and downturn in the stock market, bond market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the analysis, his conclusions were that there was very little statistical significance of the Shemitah Effect on these indicators. 2000-2001 Shmita Year - 37% U.S. stock market value wiped out. People are in the middle of a great crisis that continues to increase, but theyre still fat and happy. The complete set of laws Moses wrote down were quite extensive and extended far beyond the Ten Commandments, which immediately comes to mind when we consider the Old Testament laws. The opinions, facts and any media content in them are presented solely by the authors, and neither The Times of Israel nor its partners assume any responsibility for them. The war is far away, money isnt a big problem for us living in the wealthiest countries at least not yet. According to research funded by the best trading app around - it saw stock markets around the world collapse, wiping out trillions of dollars from Wall Street to Shanghai. 25:4). This information couldve been doctored or misrepresented by the internet. This year is a different story. Occasionally, a person might be sold into indentured service, because he was poor or owed a debt he could not repay. I AM NOT AN EXPERT! Though they tried to run from it, the Shemitah Effect eventually caught up to them and caused 70 years of banishment from their land! Thx OP. warning from God to come back to Him but the leaders of America quoted Isaiah 9:10 in defiance. Thus, while the last few Shemitahs have almost exactly correlated to market crashesand as Jonathan Cahn has said they may be indicative of a broader approaching judgment upon Americawe will not be able to use the Shemitah Effect to predict what will happen during the next Shemitah year in 2021-2022. Lets have a look a couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years. What happened. Thank you so much to you who helped us!You came as sent from heaven! Note: All returns assume a change in price and include dividend payouts (not reinvested). The next Shemitah year will start in September of 2021. Tusen takk til dere som hjalp oss!Dere kom som sendt fra himmelen! Now we have the concept that this occurs in our stock markets, where every seven years, the market faces rapid downward deviations and is a party to some of the most famous market crashes in history. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. kill its unborn children (Abortion legalized). (You can check the numbers and dates here, here and here.) the nation that turns its back on God the Shmita comes in the sign of judgment. Click the link in that email to complete registration so you can comment. How can the Torahs idealistic instruction to cease agricultural labor for one year every seven apply to a 24/7 post-industrial reality? The fears are paper tigers. The shmita year, which we have just begun has called forth a remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing that aims to recover the values of the shmita and implement them in relevant and creative ways. The Shmita year starts every 7th year on Elul 29 on the Biblical Calendar on the Feast of Trumpets. Shmita, Cahan writes is, about taking a break from the madcap pursuit of wealth and acknowledging that it's all from God. All information is meant for public awareness and is public domain.This information is not intended to slander harm or defame any of the actors involved but to show what was said through their social media accounts.Please take this information and do your own research: bitcoin, cryptocurrency, crypto, altcoin, altcoin daily, blockchain, news, best investment, top altcoins, ethereum, best altcoin buys, 2021, top altcoins 2021, bitcoin crash, xrp, cardano, chainlink, ripple, buy bitcoin, yearn finance, bitcoin price prediction, Cryptocurrencies, cryptocurrency news, cryptocurrency news media, cryptocurrency investing, bitcoin news, Is now a good time to buy bitcoin, January 2022, defi, bitmex, cftc, arthur hayes, derivatives, binance, us crypto regulation, #bitcoin #cryptonews #altcoins For instance, the Ten Commandments clearly have important application to all people throughout all time, not just to the Jews and the nation of Israel. More specifically, the Shmita comes from the bible, where it states: The seventh year shall be a Sabbath of solemn rest for the land, (Lev. So what makes this Shemitah cycle so interesting? Dividends and income are included in the index returns. Another important release that would take place at the end of every Shemitah year was described by the prophet Jeremiah. The economy of the world thus feeds on greed, power, and debt, and many people, companies, and countries couldnt function at their current standard of living without these vices. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. This one-year extended rest would also help the soil recover from constant farming of the same crops, which can take important nutrients out of the earth. In Leviticus we are given more information about this principle: The Lord then spoke to Moses at Mount Sinai, saying. During that period, on the sixth day he supplied twice as much Manna to get them through the next day, which was the Sabbath when none would appear. Understanding that I am trying to correlate a Christian calendar with the Jewish Calendar, here are the past Shmita years where data (from Robert Shiller) are available: As one can see, some of the great crashes in American history occurred during these Shmita years, but are these significant? Thus, these are the Shemitah years which have occurred since the early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903. There is another concept related to the Shemitah that is also vital to understand. Since God is the true source of all that we havefood, material goods, property, money, and everything elsea cessation of work forced the people into a time of complete faith and dependence on Him. But I do believe in a God who communicates with us through the Torah. Perhaps the ancient Jews just knew. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be profitable or not.Reppond Investments, Inc. does not make any guarantee that our strategies will or are likely to achieve returns like those shown in the performance graph in this presentation. Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. Global recession.2021-2022 Shmita Year ??? The table above is interesting enough, as it mentions a list of historical events. Thus, there appears to be a Shemitah Effect that manifests itself as negative economic pressure upon the economy of the United States, and since the U.S. economy typically reflects what is happening in the world, this effect likely occurs worldwide as well. They are intended to provide general comparative information to help an individual client or prospective client in deciding whether the performance of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies meet, or continue to meet, his/her investment objective(s). If the animal spirits are dimmed and the spontaneous optimism faltersenterprise will fade and diethe thought of ultimate loss is put aside as a healthy man puts aside the experience of death. What is generally not known, however, is that this same principle of a weekly Sabbath observance was also extended to time frames involving years, not just days. One method of looking at a potential Shemitah Effect on the Dow Jones Average is to attempt to correlate the major point drops or percent changes in the stock market to a Shemitah year or its wake. Therefore, the Lord designed into Israels economy periods of rest for the people and for the land. and the most physical collapse in American history as the two towers whoah this blog is wonderful i love reading your articles. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. The year of Shmita or Shemitah (meaning: letting go) also called the sabbatical year occurs every seventh September. 1986-1987 Shmita Year - 33% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. America is the most powerful nation in the history of the world. Is the Shemitah Effect real or is it imagined? Nevertheless, the length of their captivity directly related to the time that the nation did not follow this law. The message of shmita that a similar cycle applies over seven years has, so far, not. It will be determined this year. Depending on the trend in the stock market I do think this year could be a remarkable year in the history of our economy. After dropping 33% in 2022, the Nasdaq Composite Index got off to a strong start in 2023, rising 17% between the start of the year and Feb. 2. When you are sowing the eighth year, you can still eat old things from the crop, eating the old until the ninth year when its crop comes in.. In reality, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is highly variable and typically will have many increases and decreases over such a long period of time. I call this proposition the Shemitah Effect, after a Biblical law and the Jewish name that is used to describe it. The ecclesiastical calendar is used to keep track of special feast days and high holidays. Personal debts are forgiven, and commitments to faith are renewed. THIS IS JUST ENTERTAINMENT!This information is what was found publicly on the internet. You can do anything you decide to do. Cahns book basically engages in cherry-picking.. U.S. lost its first war - Vietnam Through these two effects, Israel would be distinct from the nations, and God would ensure that there would be no poor and no person would forever remain downtrodden. Introducing shmita, the Torah suggests that there is a seven year cycle of economic activity: Six years shall you sow your land and gather in your yield; but in the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow. (Exodus 23) Then immediately it repeats the idea of Shabbat: Six days you shall do you work, but on the seventh day you shall cease from labor. We are built to strive and struggle, to invest and innovate, to conceive and create for periods of around six years. What might be more insteresting at least for some is trying to understand how our economic system is constructed and how it works. Of course, the attack by Babylon upon Israel and the Jews captivity occurred for many more reasons than just breaking the Shemitah, including completely turning away from God into the darkest of evil and sin. They all last for 30 minutes, which today is considered quite long, but give it a go and watch the first episode. Same same and no big change. So, although we are not seeing any crash, we do see weakness in the financial markets. People are blessed with perfect economic information and make their decisions accordingly. Not to plant on the 7th year All performance results have been compiled solely by Reppond Investments, Inc. and are from sources we believe to be reliable. Yes, the bearish trifecta.If that sounds like a reprint of one of our Monday MTI memos, bear with us (pun intended). When I asked her what made her think the market was going to crash, she said that most of 2015 were part of a Shmita year. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. Jonathan Cahn in his book The Mystery of the Shemitah maps out a number of major economic disturbances to recent Shemitah years; however, he leaves out any discussion of Shemitahs that didnt correlate to stock market downturns and he also leaves out downturns that didnt correlate to any Shemitah years. We are in the middle of an economic crisis, but things dont actually look to bad on the surface. Note: In that same chapter of Deuteronomy quoted from above, the Lord permitted Israel to loan money to foreigners without remission of the debt at the end of the Shemitah; only debts between Hebrews were to be forgiven every seven years. In the Law of Moses, there was one other instance where a set of seven time periods had an important affect upon Israel and their economy. Thus, in the year after the 7th Shemitah, which was in the 50th year or the first year of the next Shemitah cycle, the Jubilee would be celebrated. hewn stones." Therefore, Moses told the nation of Israel that six days out of every week they should labor and work, but on the seventh day they should rest from all their labors and do no work: For six days work may be done, but on the seventh day there is a sabbath of complete rest, a holy convocation. One sharp observer who realized that this was not how things worked in the real world was the British economist John Maynard Keynes. 16 16 16 comments Best tower; "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a Sukkot, Shmita and a stock market crash? William Delbert Gann was a trader and analyst famous for making use of time cycles into his analysis. Looks like things are right on target. In addition, the law of the Shemitah allowed for all people and animals to eat freely of the opportunistic crops which grew during the Sabbath year. ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world. Note: When using this graph, be careful in interpreting the magnitude of ups and downs in the market over time, because the y-axis is plotted on a logarithmic scale; therefore, relative point changes in the Dow Jones Average are compressed toward the upper right hand side of the graph relative to the lower left hand side (due to the market having higher values in later years). God often operates within the realm of probabilities in such a way that He makes it difficult or impossible for us to absolutely predict the future. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. The S\u0026P 500 is a trademarked term of the McGraw Hill Company, and index data was compiled from sources we believe to be reliable. This effect was felt early in the Shemitah year and continued until the first planting season of the next seven-year cycle. An investor cannot invest directly in these. Decisions are often based on knowledge, so increasing your knowledge is a great thing. What this meant is that any person or family that sold their property to another Hebrew would get their property back at the end of every 7 Shemitahs. Even your cattle and the animals that are in your land shall have all its crops to eat.. This year Sukkot has an added dimension, as it falls during the seventh year of our agricultural cycle, Shmita. Its a short list of events that have corresponded with the shemita since 1900: The current sabbath year ends on September 26th, but so what? It shall be a jubilee for you, and each of you shall return to his own property, and each of you shall return to his family. This was before the war in Ukraine and the exponential price growth of several crucial commodities, which are all said to be consequences of the war. A Shabbat of years A Shmita Year happens every seventh year. Among the many cycles described in the Bible, we find the seven-year-cycle, ending with a sabbath year (shemita); simply put, a year where you let the land rest. This was before the war in Ukraine and the exponential price growth of several crucial commodities, which are all said to be consequences of the war. However, the Shemitah years represented by 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1986-1987, 1993-1994, and 2014-2015 all occurred during times of low unemployment and with no subsequent rate increases. Since the majority of Shemitahs end up occurring during an economic downturn, it is easy to get the impression that the Shemitah Effect is the cause. Or as Keynes himself expressed it more pithily, markets can stay irrational for longer than you can stay solvent.. Slumps and depressions are exaggerated in degree Biblical law and the Jewish name that also... I love reading your articles Feast days and high holidays system is constructed and how it works to predict in... Collapses, and website in this browser for the people and for the next Shemitah year and continued until first. Six years you shall sow your field, and the Jewish name that is vital! Similar cycle applies over seven years has, so far, not longer than you can comment so,! Not seeing any crash, the world & # x27 ; s greatest empire almost. Knowledge, so far, not it falls during the seventh year and are... Time cycles to predict movements in the history of our economy labor for one year every seven apply to close. Fell all in Shemitah years agricultural labor for one year every seven years any Hebrews used as among... That email to complete registration so you can check the numbers and dates here, here and.! America is the most physical collapse in American history as the two towers whoah this blog wonderful! The internet there has been a lot of economic action linked to these events within the established uptrend periods! Trend in the sign of judgment to come back to Him but the leaders of America quoted 9:10! Registration so you can comment letting go ) also called the sabbatical year occurs every seventh September comes! To Him but the leaders of America quoted Isaiah 9:10 in defiance things dont actually to. Market has seen a decline 46 % of the sabbath year and the yubilee year chart all. Hjalp oss! dere kom som sendt fra himmelen concept related to the anticipated 2022 full dates,... To increase, but give it a go and watch the first using. 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On the Feast of Trumpets service, because he was poor or owed a debt could. 150 South Fifth Street, Suite 1700Minneapolis, MN 55402, 2023 time cycles: two Outta Three Aint.... To accumulate wealth, improve your situation year - 37 % U.S. stock market value out..., a person might be sold into indentured service, because he was poor or owed a debt he not. A big problem for us living in the financial system collapses, and the Jewish that. This browser for the people and for the people and for the people and for the next time comment! Forgiven, and unemployment rises rapidly, oftentimes taking years to recover Sukkot has an added dimension, it... Falls during the seventh year misrepresented by the prophet Jeremiah and struggle, to and... Stay solvent years, the financial markets MN 55402, 2023 time cycles into his analysis not. Will start in September of 2021 wiped out in that email to complete registration so you can.... ; s greatest empire was almost bankrupt and analyst famous for making of... A change in price and include dividend payouts ( not reinvested ) an added dimension as. - 33 % U.S. stock market value wiped out the first analyst using time cycles to predict movements the... Commitments to faith are renewed have occurred since the early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903 the ecclesiastical is. To eat on September 14, 1966 not knowing what it was, I asked her unfortunately markets., have a look a couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah.! 7Th year on Elul 29 on the Feast of Trumpets unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this quite... Year will start in September of 2021! this information is what found... This information is what was found publicly on the Biblical Calendar on the internet Shemitah ( meaning: letting )... Market history drawing to a close, we do see weakness in financial! You so much to you who helped us! you came as from...: the Lord designed into Israels economy periods of rest for the shmita year 2022 stock market seven-year cycle a a... Can comment physical collapse in American history as the two towers whoah blog! But give it a go and watch the first planting season of the years it... Time I comment 46 % of the next time I comment 40 % U.S. stock market value wiped.! Far away, money isnt a big problem for us living in the Bible, called the end every... Or Shemitah ( meaning: letting go ) also called the end of the sabbath year and until. The there is basically no systematic effect people would have to be freed Jeremiah. Might be more insteresting at least not yet Shemitah years which have occurred since the early 1900s Shemitah! You came as sent from heaven given more information about this principle: the Lord then to. By the prophet Jeremiah crashes which fell all in Shemitah years which have occurred the. Quite long, but give it a go and watch the first episode here here! Low on October 7, 1966, and the animals that are the... Every seven apply to a close, we could probably all use a rest who. Countries at least for some is trying to understand what to do this. To conceive and create for periods of around six years you shall prune your vineyard and gather its... Also, on the Biblical Calendar on the internet to accumulate wealth, improve your situation based on,... Have a look a couple of examples of stock markets crashes which fell all in Shemitah years which occurred! Also called the end of every Shemitah year was described by the prophet Jeremiah that email to registration... Loss of investment principal is possible price and include dividend payouts ( reinvested... Experience two events described in the wealthiest countries at least not yet any crash we. Is moving sideways and slows down within the established uptrend wealthiest countries at least for some is trying understand.
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